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New York Yankees
3
100% — our call
Final
San Francisco Giants
0
0% — our call
New York Yankeesgame flow — win probabilitySan Francisco Giants
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Giants in control. Red fill: Yankees. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567893
Yankees · 8 H, 0 EGiants · 1 H, 0 E
0%
Giants win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Giants win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Rafael Devers grounds out, second baseman Jazz Chisholm Jr. to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt.
bot 9Matt Chapman walks.
bot 9Luis Arraez grounds out, second baseman Jazz Chisholm Jr. to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt.
bot 9Harrison Bader grounds out, third baseman Ryan McMahon to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt.
top 9Paul Goldschmidt grounds out, shortstop Willy Adames to first baseman Casey Schmitt.
top 9Austin Wells grounds into a double play, second baseman Luis Arraez to shortstop Willy Adames to first baseman Casey Schmitt. Trent Grisham out at 2nd. Austin Wells out at 1st.
top 9Trent Grisham walks.
bot 8Patrick Bailey strikes out on a foul tip.

Context the model prices

New York Yankees
3 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 11 batters faced over the last two days
Giancarlo Stanton 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Aaron Judge 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · José Caballero 2-4
San Francisco Giants
4 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 14 batters faced over the last two days
Heliot Ramos 1-3 · Casey Schmitt 0-3 · Patrick Bailey 0-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.