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New York Yankees
7
100% — our call
Final
San Francisco Giants
0
0% — our call
New York Yankeesgame flow — win probabilitySan Francisco Giants
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Giants in control. Red fill: Yankees. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678952
Yankees · 10 H, 1 EGiants · 3 H, 1 E
0%
Giants win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Giants win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Casey Schmitt flies out to right fielder Aaron Judge.
bot 9Heliot Ramos grounds out, shortstop José Caballero to first baseman Ben Rice. Willy Adames to 3rd.
bot 9Jung Hoo Lee lines out to center fielder Trent Grisham.
bot 9Willy Adames reaches on a fielding error by shortstop José Caballero.
top 9Ben Rice strikes out swinging.
top 9Cody Bellinger grounds out, second baseman Luis Arraez to first baseman Casey Schmitt.
top 9Aaron Judge grounds out, third baseman Matt Chapman to first baseman Casey Schmitt.
bot 8Rafael Devers flies out to center fielder Trent Grisham.

Context the model prices

New York Yankees
3 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 11 batters faced over the last two days
Austin Wells 2-3 · Giancarlo Stanton 2-4, 1 RBI · José Caballero 1-4, 1 RBI
San Francisco Giants
4 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 14 batters faced over the last two days
Heliot Ramos 1-4 · Rafael Devers 1-4 · Luis Arraez 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.