Statball

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Arizona Diamondbacks
4
0% — our call
Final
San Diego Padres
9
100% — our call
Arizona Diamondbacksgame flow — win probabilitySan Diego Padres
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Padres in control. Red fill: Diamondbacks. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Diamondbacks · 8 H, 0 EPadres · 11 H, 0 E
100%
Padres win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Padres win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9James McCann grounds out, third baseman Jake Cronenworth to first baseman Ty France.
top 9Tim Tawa flies out to right fielder Dustin Harris.
top 9Pavin Smith grounds out, second baseman Samad Taylor to first baseman Ty France.
bot 8Jake Cronenworth strikes out swinging.
bot 8Austin Hays singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Jordan Lawlar. Dustin Harris scores. Ty France scores.4–9
bot 8Luis Campusano grounds out, third baseman Jose Fernandez to first baseman James McCann. Dustin Harris to 3rd. Ty France to 2nd.
bot 8Ty France singles on a ground ball to left fielder Ryan Waldschmidt. Dustin Harris to 2nd.
bot 8Samad Taylor strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Arizona Diamondbacks
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jordan Lawlar 1-3 · Tim Tawa 1-4, 1 RBI · Nolan Arenado 1-3
San Diego Padres
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Gavin Sheets 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Freddy Fermin 2-4, 3 RBI · Dustin Harris 2-5

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.