Statball

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Miami Marlins
3
0% — our call
Final
San Diego Padres
7
100% — our call
Miami Marlinsgame flow — win probabilitySan Diego Padres
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Padres in control. Red fill: Marlins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Marlins · 4 H, 1 EPadres · 10 H, 0 E
100%
Padres win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Padres win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Jakob Marsee pops out to catcher Ethan Salas in foul territory.
top 9Heriberto Hernández grounds out, second baseman Jake Cronenworth to first baseman Ty France.
top 9Griffin Conine pops out to third baseman Sung-Mun Song in foul territory.
bot 8Sung-Mun Song grounds out, first baseman Deyvison De Los Santos to pitcher Bradley Blalock.
bot 8Jake Cronenworth homers (7) on a fly ball to right center field. Xander Bogaerts scores.3–7
bot 8Xander Bogaerts walks.
bot 8Jackson Merrill called out on strikes.
bot 8Ty France lines out to center fielder Jakob Marsee.

Context the model prices

Miami Marlins
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Javier Sanoja 1-3, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Griffin Conine 1-4 · Kyle Stowers 1-3
San Diego Padres
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jake Cronenworth 3-4, 2 HR, 5 RBI · Samad Taylor 3-3, 1 RBI · Fernando Tatis Jr. 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.