Statball

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Arizona Diamondbacks
11
100% — our call
Final
San Diego Padres
4
0% — our call
Arizona Diamondbacksgame flow — win probabilitySan Diego Padres
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Padres in control. Red fill: Diamondbacks. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Diamondbacks · 8 H, 0 EPadres · 10 H, 0 E
0%
Padres win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Padres win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Samad Taylor lines out to right fielder Corbin Carroll.
bot 9Jake Cronenworth lines out to center fielder Jordan Lawlar.
bot 9Luis Campusano flies out to right fielder Corbin Carroll.
top 9Tim Tawa flies out sharply to center fielder Jase Bowen.
top 9Nolan Arenado grounds out, second baseman Samad Taylor to first baseman Ty France.
top 9Corbin Carroll grounds out to first baseman Ty France.
bot 8Austin Hays lines out to right fielder Corbin Carroll.
bot 8Sung-Mun Song singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jordan Lawlar. Dustin Harris scores. Ty France to 3rd.11–4

Context the model prices

Arizona Diamondbacks
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jordan Lawlar 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Nolan Arenado 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Lars Nootbaar 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI
San Diego Padres
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Sung-Mun Song 2-2, 1 RBI · Fernando Tatis Jr. 2-3 · Xander Bogaerts 2-2

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.