Statball

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Miami Marlins
6
0% — our call
Final
San Diego Padres
7
100% — our call
Miami Marlinsgame flow — win probabilitySan Diego Padres
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Padres in control. Red fill: Marlins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Marlins · 10 H, 0 EPadres · 11 H, 0 E
100%
Padres win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Padres win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 10Ethan Salas singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jakob Marsee. Jake Cronenworth scores.6–7
bot 10Sung-Mun Song strikes out swinging.
top 10Heriberto Hernández lines out to center fielder Jackson Merrill.
top 10David Morgan intentionally walks Otto Lopez.
top 10Esteury Ruiz strikes out swinging.
top 10Deyvison De Los Santos strikes out swinging.
bot 9Jake Cronenworth strikes out swinging.
bot 9Luis Campusano lines out to left fielder Heriberto Hernández.

Context the model prices

Miami Marlins
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Griffin Conine 1-1, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Jakob Marsee 3-4 · Otto Lopez 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI
San Diego Padres
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Samad Taylor 1-2, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Ty France 3-5, 1 RBI · Fernando Tatis Jr. 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.