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Washington Nationals
4
0% — our call
Final
San Diego Padres
5
100% — our call
Washington Nationalsgame flow — win probabilitySan Diego Padres
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Padres in control. Red fill: Nationals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Nationals · 7 H, 0 EPadres · 6 H, 0 E
100%
Padres win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Padres win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Jacob Young flies out to right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr.
top 9Yohandy Morales strikes out swinging.
top 9Daylen Lile grounds out, second baseman Sung-Mun Song to first baseman Ty France.
bot 8Samad Taylor grounds out softly, pitcher Erik Tolman to first baseman Yohandy Morales.
bot 8Luis Campusano singles on a fly ball to right fielder James Wood. Manny Machado scores. Ty France to 3rd.4–5
bot 8Jackson Merrill pops out to second baseman Jorbit Vivas.
bot 8Ty France singles on a line drive to right fielder James Wood. Manny Machado to 2nd.
bot 8Manny Machado singles on a ground ball to center fielder Dylan Crews. Freddy Fermin scores. Fernando Tatis Jr. scores.4–4

Context the model prices

Washington Nationals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Yohandy Morales 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Andrés Chaparro 1-1, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Dylan Crews 2-4
San Diego Padres
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Luis Campusano 2-4, 1 RBI · Manny Machado 2-3, 2 RBI · Ty France 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.