Statball

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Washington Nationals
2
0% — our call
Final
San Diego Padres
9
100% — our call
Washington Nationalsgame flow — win probabilitySan Diego Padres
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Padres in control. Red fill: Nationals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Nationals · 4 H, 1 EPadres · 16 H, 0 E
100%
Padres win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Padres win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Keibert Ruiz grounds out, first baseman Ty France to pitcher Griffin Canning.
top 9Daylen Lile grounds out, pitcher Griffin Canning to first baseman Ty France.
top 9José Tena strikes out swinging.
bot 8Luis Campusano grounds out to first baseman Andrés Chaparro.
bot 8Jackson Merrill singles on a ground ball to second baseman José Tena, deflected by first baseman Andrés Chaparro. Xander Bogaerts scores. Ty France to 2nd.2–9
bot 8Ty France singles on a line drive to right fielder Dylan Crews. Xander Bogaerts to 2nd.
bot 8Manny Machado strikes out swinging.
bot 8Xander Bogaerts singles on a soft ground ball to pitcher Eddy Yean, deflected by shortstop CJ Abrams.

Context the model prices

Washington Nationals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Keibert Ruiz 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Dylan Crews 1-3, 1 RBI · James Wood 1-3
San Diego Padres
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jackson Merrill 4-5, 2 HR, 6 RBI · Ty France 3-5, 1 RBI · Fernando Tatis Jr. 3-5, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.