Statball

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New York Yankees
3
0% — our call
Final
San Diego Padres
4
100% — our call
New York Yankeesgame flow — win probabilitySan Diego Padres
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Padres in control. Red fill: Yankees. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789331
Yankees · 7 H, 1 EPadres · 6 H, 1 E
100%
Padres win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Padres win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Ben Rice called out on strikes.
top 9Austin Wells walks.
top 9George Lombard Jr. strikes out swinging.
bot 8Manny Machado caught stealing 2nd base, pitcher John Schreiber to second baseman José Caballero to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt.
bot 8Manny Machado walks.
bot 8Jake Cronenworth flies out to left fielder Cody Bellinger.
bot 8Fernando Tatis Jr. grounds out to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt.
top 8Jasson Domínguez lines out to center fielder Jackson Merrill.

Context the model prices

New York Yankees
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Spencer Jones 1-3, 1 RBI · Amed Rosario 1-1, 1 RBI · Jasson Domínguez 1-4
San Diego Padres
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Luis Campusano 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Manny Machado 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Fernando Tatis Jr. 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.