Statball

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Washington Nationals
2
0% — our call
Final
San Diego Padres
3
100% — our call
Washington Nationalsgame flow — win probabilitySan Diego Padres
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Padres in control. Red fill: Nationals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Nationals · 5 H, 0 EPadres · 9 H, 0 E
100%
Padres win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Padres win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Brady House grounds out, shortstop Xander Bogaerts to first baseman Ty France.
top 9CJ Abrams strikes out swinging.
top 9Dylan Crews singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jackson Merrill.
top 9Abimelec Ortiz called out on strikes.
bot 8Xander Bogaerts lines into a double play, left fielder Dylan Crews to second baseman CJ Abrams. Luis Campusano out at 2nd.
bot 8Jase Bowen walks. Jackson Merrill to 3rd. Luis Campusano to 2nd.
bot 8Luis Campusano hit by pitch.
bot 8Jackson Merrill doubles (23) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jacob Young.

Context the model prices

Washington Nationals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Dylan Crews 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Abimelec Ortiz 1-4 · Jorbit Vivas 1-2
San Diego Padres
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jackson Merrill 3-4, 2 RBI · Fernando Tatis Jr. 3-4 · Manny Machado 2-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.