Statball

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New York Yankees
2
0% — our call
Final
San Diego Padres
3
100% — our call
New York Yankeesgame flow — win probabilitySan Diego Padres
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Padres in control. Red fill: Yankees. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Yankees · 5 H, 0 EPadres · 6 H, 0 E
100%
Padres win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Padres win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 10Luis Campusano homers (6) on a fly ball to left field. Dustin Harris scores.2–3
bot 10Xander Bogaerts strikes out swinging.
top 10Jazz Chisholm Jr. called out on strikes.
top 10Heliot Ramos strikes out swinging and Spencer Jones caught stealing 3rd, catcher Luis Campusano to third baseman Manny Machado to catcher Luis Campusano.
top 10Spencer Jones singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Luis García Jr. scores. Spencer Jones to 2nd.2–1
bot 9Austin Hays strikes out swinging.
bot 9Jackson Merrill flies out to left fielder Cody Bellinger.
bot 9Ty France doubles (19) on a line drive to left fielder Cody Bellinger.

Context the model prices

New York Yankees
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Ben Rice 3-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Spencer Jones 1-4, 1 RBI · Luis García Jr. 1-4
San Diego Padres
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Luis Campusano 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Ty France 2-3 · Manny Machado 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.