Statball

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Minnesota Twins
1
0% — our call
Final
San Diego Padres
8
100% — our call
Minnesota Twinsgame flow — win probabilitySan Diego Padres
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Padres in control. Red fill: Twins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Twins · 6 H, 1 EPadres · 9 H, 0 E
100%
Padres win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Padres win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Josh Bell strikes out swinging.
top 9Ryan Kreidler flies out to left fielder Jase Bowen.
top 9Luke Keaschall flies out to left fielder Jase Bowen.
top 9Kaelen Culpepper singles on a line drive to left fielder Jase Bowen.
bot 8Jackson Merrill pops out to third baseman Brooks Lee.
bot 8Ty France walks.
bot 8Manny Machado flies out to center fielder Byron Buxton.
bot 8Jake Cronenworth grounds out, pitcher Taylor Rogers to first baseman Royce Lewis.

Context the model prices

Minnesota Twins
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Brooks Lee 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Alan Roden 2-3 · Kaelen Culpepper 1-3
San Diego Padres
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Fernando Tatis Jr. 4-5, 2 HR, 4 RBI · Jackson Merrill 1-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Luis Rengifo 1-3, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.