Statball

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Minnesota Twins
5
0% — our call
Final
San Diego Padres
7
100% — our call
Minnesota Twinsgame flow — win probabilitySan Diego Padres
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Padres in control. Red fill: Twins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Twins · 10 H, 2 EPadres · 10 H, 0 E
100%
Padres win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Padres win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Ryan Jeffers grounds out, shortstop Xander Bogaerts to first baseman Ty France.
top 9Josh Bell flies out to right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr.
top 9Byron Buxton strikes out swinging.
bot 8Manny Machado strikes out swinging.
bot 8Jake Cronenworth strikes out swinging.
bot 8Fernando Tatis Jr. singles on a ground ball to center fielder Byron Buxton. Luis Campusano scores. Freddy Fermin to 2nd.57
bot 8Freddy Fermin singles on a line drive to center fielder Byron Buxton. Luis Campusano to 2nd.
bot 8Xander Bogaerts strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Minnesota Twins
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Brooks Lee 3-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Luke Keaschall 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Kaelen Culpepper 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI
San Diego Padres
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jackson Merrill 2-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Fernando Tatis Jr. 2-5, 1 RBI · Jake Cronenworth 2-5, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.