Statball

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Houston Astros
6
100% — our call
Final
San Diego Padres
3
0% — our call
Houston Astrosgame flow — win probabilitySan Diego Padres
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Padres in control. Red fill: Astros. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Astros · 11 H, 1 EPadres · 7 H, 0 E
0%
Padres win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Padres win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Fernando Tatis Jr. grounds out, shortstop Jeremy Peña to first baseman Christian Walker.
bot 9Jase Bowen strikes out swinging.
bot 9Xander Bogaerts grounds out, second baseman Nick Allen to first baseman Christian Walker.
top 9Christian Walker grounds out softly to pitcher Wandy Peralta.
top 9Jose Altuve pops out to third baseman Manny Machado in foul territory.
top 9Isaac Paredes singles on a line drive to center fielder Jackson Merrill.
top 9Yordan Alvarez grounds out to first baseman Jake Cronenworth.
bot 8Ty France strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Houston Astros
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Cam Smith 3-4, 2 HR, 2 RBI · Isaac Paredes 3-5 · Jake Meyers 2-4
San Diego Padres
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Fernando Tatis Jr. 2-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Luis Campusano 1-2 · Jackson Merrill 1-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.