Statball

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Houston Astros
2
0% — our call
Final
San Diego Padres
3
100% — our call
Houston Astrosgame flow — win probabilitySan Diego Padres
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Padres in control. Red fill: Astros. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Astros · 5 H, 1 EPadres · 5 H, 1 E
100%
Padres win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Padres win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9LaMonte Wade Jr. grounds out, third baseman Manny Machado to first baseman Ty France.
top 9Yainer Diaz singles on a line drive to left fielder Jase Bowen. Christian Walker scores.23
top 9Cam Smith called out on strikes.
top 9Daulton Varsho grounds out, first baseman Ty France to pitcher Mason Miller. Christian Walker to 3rd.
top 9Christian Walker hit by pitch.
bot 8Luis Campusano grounds out, pitcher Bryan King to second baseman Jose Altuve to first baseman Christian Walker.
bot 8Jackson Merrill grounds into a force out, second baseman Jose Altuve to shortstop Jeremy Peña. Ty France out at 2nd. Jackson Merrill to 1st.
bot 8Ty France walks.

Context the model prices

Houston Astros
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Taylor Trammell 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Isaac Paredes 1-4 · Jose Altuve 1-4
San Diego Padres
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jackson Merrill 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Gavin Sheets 1-3 · Manny Machado 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.