Statball

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Houston Astros
2
0% — our call
Final
San Diego Padres
7
100% — our call
Houston Astrosgame flow — win probabilitySan Diego Padres
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Padres in control. Red fill: Astros. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678921312
Astros · 2 H, 0 EPadres · 12 H, 0 E
100%
Padres win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Padres win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Yordan Alvarez strikes out swinging.
top 9Jeremy Peña strikes out swinging.
top 9LaMonte Wade Jr. grounds out, second baseman Jake Cronenworth to first baseman Ty France.
bot 8Fernando Tatis Jr. called out on strikes.
bot 8Freddy Fermin strikes out swinging.
bot 8Xander Bogaerts strikes out swinging.
bot 8Austin Hays homers (2) on a line drive to left field. Jase Bowen scores.27
bot 8Luis Rengifo singles on a line drive to right fielder Taylor Trammell.

Context the model prices

Houston Astros
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Daulton Varsho 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Taylor Trammell 1-3 · Isaac Paredes 0-3
San Diego Padres
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jackson Merrill 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Fernando Tatis Jr. 2-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Gavin Sheets 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.