Statball

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San Francisco Giants
5
0% — our call
Final
San Diego Padres
6
100% — our call
San Francisco Giantsgame flow — win probabilitySan Diego Padres
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Padres in control. Red fill: Giants. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Giants · 12 H, 0 EPadres · 10 H, 0 E
100%
Padres win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Padres win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Jake Cronenworth singles on a line drive to center fielder Drew Gilbert. Xander Bogaerts scores. Fernando Tatis Jr. to 3rd.56
bot 9Dylan Smith intentionally walks Fernando Tatis Jr.
bot 9Gavin Sheets grounds out softly, third baseman Osleivis Basabe to first baseman Rafael Devers.
bot 9Freddy Fermin out on a sacrifice bunt, catcher Daniel Susac to second baseman Nate Furman. Xander Bogaerts to 3rd.
bot 9Xander Bogaerts doubles (10) on a line drive to left fielder Heliot Ramos.
top 9Willy Adames pops out to shortstop Xander Bogaerts.
top 9Rafael Devers walks.
top 9Heliot Ramos strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

San Francisco Giants
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Osleivis Basabe 2-4, 1 HR, 4 RBI · Drew Gilbert 2-4 · Rafael Devers 2-4
San Diego Padres
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Freddy Fermin 2-3, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Ty France 3-4 · Xander Bogaerts 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.