Statball

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San Francisco Giants
4
0% — our call
Final
San Diego Padres
5
100% — our call
San Francisco Giantsgame flow — win probabilitySan Diego Padres
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Padres in control. Red fill: Giants. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Giants · 7 H, 2 EPadres · 8 H, 1 E
100%
Padres win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Padres win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Luis Arraez flies out to center fielder Jackson Merrill.
top 9Osleivis Basabe hit by pitch.
top 9Daniel Susac strikes out swinging.
top 9Christian Koss strikes out swinging.
bot 8Jake Cronenworth lines out to right fielder Jung Hoo Lee.
bot 8Luis Rengifo hit by pitch.
bot 8Sung-Mun Song pops out to second baseman Luis Arraez.
bot 8Xander Bogaerts walks.

Context the model prices

San Francisco Giants
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Rafael Devers 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Osleivis Basabe 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Jung Hoo Lee 2-3
San Diego Padres
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jackson Merrill 2-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Ty France 2-4 · Luis Campusano 1-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.