Statball

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San Francisco Giants
0
0% — our call
Final
San Diego Padres
7
100% — our call
San Francisco Giantsgame flow — win probabilitySan Diego Padres
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Padres in control. Red fill: Giants. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567892131
Giants · 2 H, 0 EPadres · 12 H, 0 E
100%
Padres win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Padres win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Jesus Rodriguez flies out to right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr. in foul territory.
top 9Drew Gilbert lines out to right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr.
top 9Osleivis Basabe grounds out, shortstop Xander Bogaerts to first baseman Ty France.
bot 8Manny Machado strikes out swinging.
bot 8Luis Rengifo grounds out, shortstop Willy Adames to first baseman Rafael Devers.
bot 8Fernando Tatis Jr. flies out to left fielder Drew Gilbert.
top 8Christian Koss pops out to catcher Freddy Fermin in foul territory.
top 8Drew Cavanaugh strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

San Francisco Giants
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Christian Koss 1-3 · Luis Arraez 1-3 · Heliot Ramos 0-3
San Diego Padres
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jase Bowen 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Luis Campusano 3-4, 1 RBI · Ty France 2-2, 3 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.