Statball

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Colorado Rockies
1
0% — our call
Final
San Diego Padres
3
100% — our call
Colorado Rockiesgame flow — win probabilitySan Diego Padres
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Padres in control. Red fill: Rockies. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678913
Rockies · 6 H, 0 EPadres · 6 H, 1 E
100%
Padres win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Padres win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Troy Johnston lines out to center fielder Jackson Merrill.
top 9Mickey Moniak strikes out swinging.
top 9Edouard Julien strikes out swinging.
bot 8Ty France flies out to center fielder Jake McCarthy.
bot 8Manny Machado lines out to right fielder Troy Johnston.
bot 8Jake Cronenworth grounds out, shortstop Cole Carrigg to first baseman TJ Rumfield.
top 8Willi Castro strikes out swinging.
top 8TJ Rumfield strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Colorado Rockies
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Brett Sullivan 2-3, 1 RBI · Mickey Moniak 1-4 · Willi Castro 1-4
San Diego Padres
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Freddy Fermin 1-3 · Jackson Merrill 1-3, 1 RBI · Manny Machado 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.