Statball

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Toronto Blue Jays
4
0% — our call
Final
San Diego Padres
5
100% — our call
Toronto Blue Jaysgame flow — win probabilitySan Diego Padres
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Padres in control. Red fill: Jays. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678912132
Jays · 9 H, 1 EPadres · 7 H, 0 E
100%
Padres win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Padres win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Vladimir Guerrero Jr. strikes out swinging.
top 9Myles Straw pops out to second baseman Jake Cronenworth.
top 9Ernie Clement grounds out, third baseman Sung-Mun Song to first baseman Ty France.
bot 8Rodolfo Durán flies out to right fielder Myles Straw.
bot 8Jake Cronenworth singles on a ground ball to right fielder Myles Straw.
bot 8Ty France out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Daulton Varsho. Jase Bowen scores.45
bot 8Gavin Sheets grounds out, shortstop Andrés Giménez to first baseman Brandon Valenzuela. Manny Machado to 2nd.
bot 8Manny Machado singles on a line drive to center fielder Daulton Varsho. Xander Bogaerts scores.44

Context the model prices

Toronto Blue Jays
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Ernie Clement 1-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Nathan Lukes 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Jonatan Clase 2-4, 1 RBI
San Diego Padres
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Manny Machado 3-4, 1 RBI · Jake Cronenworth 2-4, 1 RBI · Ty France 1-2, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.