Statball

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Colorado Rockies
7
0% — our call
Final
San Diego Padres
8
100% — our call
Colorado Rockiesgame flow — win probabilitySan Diego Padres
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Padres in control. Red fill: Rockies. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Rockies · 10 H, 4 EPadres · 16 H, 1 E
100%
Padres win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Padres win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Sung-Mun Song walks.
bot 9Luis Rengifo walks.
bot 9Jackson Merrill singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jake McCarthy.
top 9TJ Rumfield strikes out swinging.
top 9Hunter Goodman strikes out swinging.
top 9Mickey Moniak strikes out swinging.
bot 8Manny Machado caught stealing 3rd base, catcher Hunter Goodman to third baseman Kyle Karros.
bot 8Manny Machado singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jake McCarthy. Jake Cronenworth scores. Manny Machado to 2nd. Fielding error by right fielder Jake McCarthy.77

Context the model prices

Colorado Rockies
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Mickey Moniak 2-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Willi Castro 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Cole Carrigg 3-4
San Diego Padres
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Fernando Tatis Jr. 5-5, 2 RBI · Jackson Merrill 3-5, 1 RBI · Manny Machado 3-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.