Statball

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Toronto Blue Jays
7
0% — our call
Final
San Diego Padres
8
100% — our call
Toronto Blue Jaysgame flow — win probabilitySan Diego Padres
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Padres in control. Red fill: Jays. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Jays · 8 H, 0 EPadres · 8 H, 1 E
100%
Padres win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Padres win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Kazuma Okamoto strikes out swinging.
top 9George Springer lines out to center fielder Jackson Merrill.
top 9Vladimir Guerrero Jr. strikes out swinging.
top 9Nathan Lukes singles on a ground ball to right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr.
bot 8Ty France grounds out, second baseman Luis Urías to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
bot 8Gavin Sheets walks. Manny Machado to 2nd.
bot 8Manny Machado grounds into a force out, shortstop Ernie Clement to second baseman Luis Urías. Xander Bogaerts out at 2nd. Manny Machado to 1st.
bot 8Xander Bogaerts walks.

Context the model prices

Toronto Blue Jays
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 2-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Jonatan Clase 1-2, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Alejandro Kirk 2-4, 1 RBI
San Diego Padres
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Ty France 2-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Jackson Merrill 2-3 · Jake Cronenworth 2-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.