Statball

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Arizona Diamondbacks
3
100% — our call
Final
San Diego Padres
1
0% — our call
Arizona Diamondbacksgame flow — win probabilitySan Diego Padres
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Padres in control. Red fill: Diamondbacks. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Diamondbacks · 8 H, 0 EPadres · 3 H, 0 E
0%
Padres win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Padres win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Xander Bogaerts strikes out on a foul tip.
bot 9Jackson Merrill flies out to right fielder Corbin Carroll.
bot 9Fernando Tatis Jr. called out on strikes.
top 9Ildemaro Vargas grounds out, third baseman Manny Machado to first baseman Jake Cronenworth.
top 9Tommy Troy called out on strikes.
top 9Nolan Arenado strikes out swinging.
bot 8Sung-Mun Song strikes out swinging.
bot 8Miguel Andujar grounds out, third baseman Nolan Arenado to first baseman Ildemaro Vargas.

Context the model prices

Arizona Diamondbacks
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Nolan Arenado 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Geraldo Perdomo 2-4, 1 RBI · Tommy Troy 1-3
San Diego Padres
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Manny Machado 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Fernando Tatis Jr. 1-4 · Luis Campusano 0-1

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.