Statball

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Toronto Blue Jays
5
100% — our call
Final
San Diego Padres
3
0% — our call
Toronto Blue Jaysgame flow — win probabilitySan Diego Padres
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Padres in control. Red fill: Jays. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Jays · 9 H, 0 EPadres · 10 H, 0 E
0%
Padres win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Padres win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Xander Bogaerts grounds out, third baseman Kazuma Okamoto to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
bot 9Jackson Merrill singles on a line drive to left fielder Myles Straw. Luis Campusano scores. Fernando Tatis Jr. to 2nd.53
bot 9Fernando Tatis Jr. singles on a ground ball to right fielder Nathan Lukes. Luis Campusano to 2nd.
bot 9Luis Campusano singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Daulton Varsho.
bot 9Luis Rengifo flies out to left fielder Myles Straw.
bot 9Jake Cronenworth strikes out swinging.
top 9Ernie Clement pops out to catcher Luis Campusano.
top 9Nathan Lukes pops out to shortstop Xander Bogaerts.

Context the model prices

Toronto Blue Jays
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Kazuma Okamoto 1-3, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Ernie Clement 2-5 · Myles Straw 2-4
San Diego Padres
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Xander Bogaerts 1-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Rodolfo Durán 2-2 · Manny Machado 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.