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Arizona Diamondbacks
8
100% — our call
Final
San Diego Padres
0
0% — our call
Arizona Diamondbacksgame flow — win probabilitySan Diego Padres
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Padres in control. Red fill: Diamondbacks. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Diamondbacks · 11 H, 0 EPadres · 8 H, 2 E
0%
Padres win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Padres win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Sung-Mun Song grounds out, first baseman Pavin Smith to pitcher Drey Jameson.
bot 9Samad Taylor strikes out swinging.
bot 9Jackson Merrill singles on a line drive to right fielder Jorge Barrosa.
bot 9Luis Campusano grounds out, shortstop Geraldo Perdomo to first baseman Pavin Smith.
top 9Gabriel Moreno pops out to second baseman Jake Cronenworth.
top 9Pavin Smith strikes out swinging.
top 9Geraldo Perdomo singles on a fly ball to left fielder Samad Taylor. Tommy Troy to 2nd.
top 9Jorge Barrosa strikes out on a foul tip.

Context the model prices

Arizona Diamondbacks
6 on the injured list · bullpen threw 26 batters faced over the last two days
Geraldo Perdomo 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Max Kepler 2-4, 1 HR, 4 RBI · Nolan Arenado 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI
San Diego Padres
10 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 35 batters faced over the last two days
Jackson Merrill 2-4 · Jake Cronenworth 2-4 · Samad Taylor 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.