Statball

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Atlanta Braves
2
0% — our call
Final
San Diego Padres
5
100% — our call
Atlanta Bravesgame flow — win probabilitySan Diego Padres
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Padres in control. Red fill: Braves. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Braves · 6 H, 1 EPadres · 7 H, 1 E
100%
Padres win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Padres win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Dominic Smith grounds out, shortstop Xander Bogaerts to first baseman Ty France.
top 9Drake Baldwin pops out to shortstop Xander Bogaerts.
top 9Joey Bart grounds out, second baseman Sung-Mun Song to first baseman Ty France.
bot 8Gavin Sheets grounds out, second baseman Ozzie Albies to first baseman Matt Olson.
bot 8Freddy Fermin strikes out swinging.
bot 8Ty France strikes out swinging.
top 8Eli White grounds out, shortstop Xander Bogaerts to first baseman Ty France.
top 8Austin Riley grounds out softly to first baseman Ty France. Matt Olson to 2nd.

Context the model prices

Atlanta Braves
7 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 32 batters faced over the last two days
Joey Bart 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Matt Olson 2-4 · Mauricio Dubón 1-4
San Diego Padres
9 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 53 batters faced over the last two days
Ty France 2-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Samad Taylor 2-4, 2 RBI · Xander Bogaerts 2-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.