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Cincinnati Reds
4
0% — our call
Final
San Diego Padres
5
100% — our call
Cincinnati Redsgame flow — win probabilitySan Diego Padres
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Padres in control. Red fill: Reds. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567892111121
Reds · 10 H, 0 EPadres · 11 H, 0 E
100%
Padres win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Padres win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Fernando Tatis Jr. homers (2) on a line drive to left field.45
bot 9Sung-Mun Song grounds out, second baseman Edwin Arroyo to first baseman Spencer Steer.
bot 9Rodolfo Durán grounds out, third baseman Sal Stewart to first baseman Spencer Steer.
top 9Spencer Steer grounds into a force out, shortstop Sung-Mun Song to second baseman Fernando Tatis Jr. Sal Stewart out at 2nd.
top 9Sal Stewart walks.
top 9JJ Bleday grounds into a double play, third baseman Manny Machado to shortstop Sung-Mun Song to first baseman Ty France. Matt McLain out at 2nd. JJ Bleday out at 1st.
top 9Matt McLain singles on a line drive to right fielder Jase Bowen.
bot 8Ty France strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Cincinnati Reds
8 on the injured list · bullpen threw 36 batters faced over the last two days
Eugenio Suárez 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Spencer Steer 1-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · JJ Bleday 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI
San Diego Padres
9 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 46 batters faced over the last two days
Fernando Tatis Jr. 2-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Jackson Merrill 2-4 · Will Wagner 2-2

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.