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Atlanta Braves
0
0% — our call
Final
San Diego Padres
1
100% — our call
Atlanta Bravesgame flow — win probabilitySan Diego Padres
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Padres in control. Red fill: Braves. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567891
Braves · 7 H, 0 EPadres · 4 H, 1 E
100%
Padres win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Padres win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Dominic Smith walks.
top 9Austin Riley singles on a line drive to center fielder Jackson Merrill.
top 9Michael Harris II strikes out swinging.
top 9Ozzie Albies flies out to left fielder Samad Taylor.
bot 8Jase Bowen strikes out swinging.
bot 8Xander Bogaerts walks.
bot 8Ty France pops out to first baseman Matt Olson.
bot 8Miguel Andujar strikes out on a foul tip.

Context the model prices

Atlanta Braves
8 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 24 batters faced over the last two days
Austin Riley 3-4 · Michael Harris II 1-4 · Mauricio Dubón 1-4
San Diego Padres
9 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 39 batters faced over the last two days
Manny Machado 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Will Wagner 1-2 · Fernando Tatis Jr. 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.