Statball

← All live games · Petco Park

Cincinnati Reds
5
100% — our call
Final
San Diego Padres
3
0% — our call
Cincinnati Redsgame flow — win probabilitySan Diego Padres
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Padres in control. Red fill: Reds. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567891011111221
Reds · 8 H, 0 EPadres · 12 H, 1 E
0%
Padres win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Padres win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 11Jackson Merrill flies out to center fielder Dane Myers.
bot 11Fernando Tatis Jr. grounds out, second baseman Edwin Arroyo to first baseman Spencer Steer. Freddy Fermin to 3rd.
bot 11Sung-Mun Song pops out to first baseman Spencer Steer.
top 11Spencer Steer grounds out, second baseman Fernando Tatis Jr. to first baseman Gavin Sheets.
top 11Dane Myers strikes out swinging.
top 11Sal Stewart homers (13) on a fly ball to center field. Blake Dunn scores.53
top 11JJ Bleday flies out to right fielder Jase Bowen. Blake Dunn to 3rd.
bot 10Freddy Fermin flies out to left fielder JJ Bleday.

Context the model prices

Cincinnati Reds
8 on the injured list · bullpen threw 36 batters faced over the last two days
Sal Stewart 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Tyler Stephenson 2-4, 1 RBI · Dane Myers 1-3
San Diego Padres
9 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 46 batters faced over the last two days
Fernando Tatis Jr. 4-6 · Jackson Merrill 2-6, 1 RBI · Samad Taylor 2-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.