Statball

← All live games · Petco Park

New York Mets
5
100% — our call
Final
San Diego Padres
0
0% — our call
New York Metsgame flow — win probabilitySan Diego Padres
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Padres in control. Red fill: Mets. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567891121
Mets · 9 H, 1 EPadres · 3 H, 0 E
0%
Padres win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Padres win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Jackson Merrill lines out sharply to left fielder Juan Soto.
bot 9Ty France lines out to right fielder Carson Benge.
bot 9Manny Machado reaches on a fielding error by third baseman Brett Baty.
bot 9Gavin Sheets grounds out to first baseman Jared Young.
top 9Mark Vientos strikes out swinging.
top 9Brett Baty singles on a line drive to right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr. A.J. Ewing scores.50
top 9Marcus Semien strikes out swinging. A.J. Ewing steals (6) 3rd base.
top 9A.J. Ewing singles on a line drive to right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr.

Context the model prices

New York Mets
8 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 11 batters faced over the last two days
Luis Torrens 2-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Jared Young 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Bo Bichette 2-4, 1 RBI
San Diego Padres
9 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 31 batters faced over the last two days
Manny Machado 1-4 · Ty France 1-4 · Fernando Tatis Jr. 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.