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Philadelphia Phillies
4
100% — our call
Final
San Diego Padres
3
0% — our call
Philadelphia Philliesgame flow — win probabilitySan Diego Padres
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Padres in control. Red fill: Phillies. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Phillies · 9 H, 0 EPadres · 5 H, 0 E
0%
Padres win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Padres win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Ty France strikes out swinging.
bot 9Jackson Merrill strikes out swinging.
bot 9Miguel Andujar grounds out, third baseman Alec Bohm to first baseman Bryce Harper.
top 9Trea Turner lines into a double play, second baseman Fernando Tatis Jr. to first baseman Ty France. Kyle Schwarber out at 1st.
top 9Kyle Schwarber singles on a line drive to left fielder Bryce Johnson.
top 9Edmundo Sosa strikes out swinging.
bot 8Manny Machado grounds out softly, third baseman Alec Bohm to first baseman Bryce Harper.
bot 8Gavin Sheets walks. Fernando Tatis Jr. to 2nd.

Context the model prices

Philadelphia Phillies
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 24 batters faced over the last two days
J.T. Realmuto 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Trea Turner 2-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Bryce Harper 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI
San Diego Padres
7 on the injured list · bullpen threw 21 batters faced over the last two days
Ramón Laureano 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Manny Machado 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Gavin Sheets 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.