Statball

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Philadelphia Phillies
3
100% — our call
Final
San Diego Padres
0
0% — our call
Philadelphia Philliesgame flow — win probabilitySan Diego Padres
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Padres in control. Red fill: Phillies. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Phillies · 6 H, 0 EPadres · 7 H, 0 E
0%
Padres win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Padres win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Jackson Merrill pops out to third baseman Alec Bohm.
bot 9Ramón Laureano strikes out swinging.
bot 9Xander Bogaerts singles on a ground ball to left fielder Edmundo Sosa.
bot 9Manny Machado strikes out swinging.
top 9Bryson Stott flies out to center fielder Jackson Merrill.
top 9Alec Bohm flies out to right fielder Nick Castellanos.
top 9Bryce Harper grounds out, second baseman Fernando Tatis Jr. to first baseman Gavin Sheets.
top 9Trea Turner homers (7) on a fly ball to left field.30

Context the model prices

Philadelphia Phillies
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 24 batters faced over the last two days
Trea Turner 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Kyle Schwarber 2-4, 1 RBI · Justin Crawford 1-3
San Diego Padres
7 on the injured list · bullpen threw 21 batters faced over the last two days
Jackson Merrill 2-4 · Fernando Tatis Jr. 2-4 · Nick Castellanos 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.