Statball

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Philadelphia Phillies
3
100% — our call
Final
San Diego Padres
0
0% — our call
Philadelphia Philliesgame flow — win probabilitySan Diego Padres
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Padres in control. Red fill: Phillies. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Phillies · 3 H, 1 EPadres · 5 H, 0 E
0%
Padres win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Padres win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Ramón Laureano strikes out swinging.
bot 9Ty France singles on a ground ball to center fielder Justin Crawford.
bot 9Nick Castellanos lines out to left fielder Brandon Marsh.
bot 9Jackson Merrill flies out to left fielder Brandon Marsh.
top 9Brandon Marsh pops out to third baseman Manny Machado.
top 9Alec Bohm walks.
top 9Bryce Harper flies out sharply to center fielder Jackson Merrill.
top 9Kyle Schwarber grounds out, first baseman Ty France to pitcher Yuki Matsui.

Context the model prices

Philadelphia Phillies
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 20 batters faced over the last two days
Kyle Schwarber 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Brandon Marsh 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Justin Crawford 0-3
San Diego Padres
7 on the injured list · bullpen threw 38 batters faced over the last two days
Ty France 2-4 · Fernando Tatis Jr. 2-2 · Miguel Andujar 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.