Statball

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Los Angeles Dodgers
5
100% — our call
Final
San Diego Padres
4
0% — our call
Los Angeles Dodgersgame flow — win probabilitySan Diego Padres
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Padres in control. Red fill: Dodgers. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Dodgers · 6 H, 0 EPadres · 6 H, 1 E
0%
Padres win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Padres win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Fernando Tatis Jr. grounds out, third baseman Santiago Espinal to first baseman Freddie Freeman.
bot 9Freddy Fermin grounds out, second baseman Hyeseong Kim to first baseman Freddie Freeman.
bot 9Ty France strikes out swinging.
top 9Will Smith flies out to right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr.
bot 8Nick Castellanos strikes out swinging.
bot 8Jackson Merrill walks.
bot 8Xander Bogaerts flies out to right fielder Kyle Tucker.
bot 8Manny Machado strikes out on a foul tip.

Context the model prices

Los Angeles Dodgers
12 on the injured list (4 stars) · bullpen threw 22 batters faced over the last two days
Freddie Freeman 2-4, 2 HR, 3 RBI · Shohei Ohtani 2-3, 1 RBI · Max Muncy 1-3
San Diego Padres
7 on the injured list · bullpen threw 25 batters faced over the last two days
Manny Machado 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Miguel Andujar 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Fernando Tatis Jr. 2-5

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.