Statball

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St. Louis Cardinals
6
100% — our call
Final
San Diego Padres
0
0% — our call
St. Louis Cardinalsgame flow — win probabilitySan Diego Padres
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Padres in control. Red fill: Cardinals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567896
Cardinals · 11 H, 0 EPadres · 1 H, 2 E
0%
Padres win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Padres win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Manny Machado lines out to right fielder Jordan Walker.
bot 9Xander Bogaerts lines out to right fielder Jordan Walker.
bot 9Jackson Merrill strikes out on a foul tip.
top 9Jordan Walker strikes out swinging.
top 9Alec Burleson strikes out swinging.
top 9Iván Herrera grounds out, first baseman Gavin Sheets to pitcher Ron Marinaccio.
bot 8Sung-Mun Song grounds out, shortstop Masyn Winn to first baseman Alec Burleson.
bot 8Freddy Fermin lines out to center fielder Victor Scott II.

Context the model prices

St. Louis Cardinals
1 on the injured list · bullpen threw 18 batters faced over the last two days
Iván Herrera 4-5 · Nathan Church 2-4 · Alec Burleson 2-5
San Diego Padres
6 on the injured list · bullpen threw 32 batters faced over the last two days
Jackson Merrill 1-4 · Freddy Fermin 0-3 · Sung-Mun Song 0-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.