Statball

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St. Louis Cardinals
2
0% — our call
Final
San Diego Padres
3
100% — our call
St. Louis Cardinalsgame flow — win probabilitySan Diego Padres
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Padres in control. Red fill: Cardinals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Cardinals · 3 H, 0 EPadres · 4 H, 0 E
100%
Padres win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Padres win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 10Manny Machado out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Jordan Walker. Ramón Laureano scores.23
bot 10Fernando Tatis Jr. walks. Ramón Laureano to 3rd. Jackson Merrill to 2nd.
bot 10Gordon Graceffo intentionally walks Jackson Merrill.
top 10José Fermín pops out to first baseman Ty France.
top 10Masyn Winn walks.
top 10Nolan Gorman strikes out swinging.
top 10Jordan Walker strikes out swinging.
bot 9Ramón Laureano strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

St. Louis Cardinals
1 on the injured list · bullpen threw 17 batters faced over the last two days
Jordan Walker 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · JJ Wetherholt 1-4 · Alec Burleson 1-4
San Diego Padres
6 on the injured list · bullpen threw 35 batters faced over the last two days
Nick Castellanos 1-2, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Xander Bogaerts 2-4 · Jackson Merrill 1-2

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.