Statball

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St. Louis Cardinals
2
100% — our call
Final
San Diego Padres
1
0% — our call
St. Louis Cardinalsgame flow — win probabilitySan Diego Padres
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Padres in control. Red fill: Cardinals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Cardinals · 5 H, 0 EPadres · 4 H, 0 E
0%
Padres win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Padres win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Manny Machado grounds out, shortstop Masyn Winn to first baseman Alec Burleson.
bot 9Miguel Andujar strikes out swinging.
bot 9Jackson Merrill grounds out, second baseman JJ Wetherholt to first baseman Alec Burleson.
top 9Pedro Pagés flies out to center fielder Jackson Merrill.
top 9Nathan Church flies out to left fielder Ramón Laureano.
top 9Masyn Winn ground bunts into a force out, first baseman Ty France to third baseman Manny Machado. Jordan Walker out at 3rd. Nolan Gorman to 2nd. Masyn Winn to 1st.
top 9Nolan Gorman walks.
top 9Jordan Walker doubles (8) on a ground ball to center fielder Jackson Merrill.

Context the model prices

St. Louis Cardinals
1 on the injured list · bullpen threw 22 batters faced over the last two days
Alec Burleson 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Jordan Walker 2-4 · Victor Scott II 1-3
San Diego Padres
6 on the injured list · bullpen threw 41 batters faced over the last two days
Fernando Tatis Jr. 2-3 · Miguel Andujar 1-4 · Xander Bogaerts 1-3, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.