Statball

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Chicago White Sox
4
100% — our call
Final
San Diego Padres
0
0% — our call
Chicago White Soxgame flow — win probabilitySan Diego Padres
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Padres in control. Red fill: Sox. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678922
Sox · 7 H, 0 EPadres · 6 H, 0 E
0%
Padres win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Padres win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Luis Campusano strikes out swinging.
bot 9Miguel Andujar flies out to right fielder Jarred Kelenic.
bot 9Xander Bogaerts walks. Jackson Merrill to 3rd. Manny Machado to 2nd.
bot 9Manny Machado walks.
bot 9Jackson Merrill singles on a ground ball to second baseman Chase Meidroth.
top 9Edgar Quero called out on strikes.
top 9Sam Antonacci strikes out swinging.
top 9Chase Meidroth strikes out on a foul tip.

Context the model prices

Chicago White Sox
8 on the injured list · bullpen threw 26 batters faced over the last two days
Sam Antonacci 2-4 · Tristan Peters 1-1, 1 RBI · Chase Meidroth 1-3
San Diego Padres
6 on the injured list · bullpen threw 26 batters faced over the last two days
Jackson Merrill 2-4 · Miguel Andujar 2-4 · Ramón Laureano 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.