Statball

← All live games · Petco Park

Chicago White Sox
8
100% — our call
Final
San Diego Padres
2
0% — our call
Chicago White Soxgame flow — win probabilitySan Diego Padres
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Padres in control. Red fill: Sox. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567896112
Sox · 8 H, 0 EPadres · 6 H, 0 E
0%
Padres win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Padres win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Bryce Johnson strikes out swinging.
bot 9Freddy Fermin doubles (4) on a line drive to right fielder Derek Hill.
bot 9Nick Castellanos grounds out, third baseman Miguel Vargas to first baseman Munetaka Murakami.
bot 9Ty France grounds out, shortstop Luisangel Acuña to first baseman Munetaka Murakami.
top 9Luisangel Acuña strikes out swinging.
top 9Miguel Vargas lines out to center fielder Bryce Johnson.
top 9Munetaka Murakami flies out to center fielder Bryce Johnson.
bot 8Xander Bogaerts grounds into a force out, shortstop Colson Montgomery to second baseman Chase Meidroth. Manny Machado out at 2nd.

Context the model prices

Chicago White Sox
8 on the injured list · bullpen threw 14 batters faced over the last two days
Munetaka Murakami 1-3, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Colson Montgomery 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Sam Antonacci 2-4, 1 RBI
San Diego Padres
6 on the injured list · bullpen threw 17 batters faced over the last two days
Fernando Tatis Jr. 3-3 · Freddy Fermin 1-4 · Manny Machado 1-3, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.