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Chicago Cubs
8
100% — our call
Final
San Diego Padres
3
0% — our call
Chicago Cubsgame flow — win probabilitySan Diego Padres
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Padres in control. Red fill: Cubs. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Cubs · 8 H, 0 EPadres · 6 H, 1 E
0%
Padres win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Padres win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Bryce Johnson flies out to right fielder Seiya Suzuki.
bot 9Luis Campusano flies out to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong.
bot 9Nick Castellanos flies out to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong.
top 9Pete Crow-Armstrong grounds out, second baseman Fernando Tatis Jr. to first baseman Ty France.
top 9Alex Bregman singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Bryce Johnson.
top 9Carson Kelly grounds out, second baseman Fernando Tatis Jr. to first baseman Ty France.
top 9Michael Busch strikes out swinging.
bot 8Ty France grounds out, shortstop Nico Hoerner to first baseman Michael Busch.

Context the model prices

Chicago Cubs
11 on the injured list (3 stars) · bullpen threw 29 batters faced over the last two days
Pete Crow-Armstrong 1-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Alex Bregman 2-2, 1 RBI · Seiya Suzuki 2-4
San Diego Padres
7 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 38 batters faced over the last two days
Xander Bogaerts 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Ty France 2-4, 1 RBI · Luis Campusano 1-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.