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Chicago Cubs
7
0% — our call
Final
San Diego Padres
9
100% — our call
Chicago Cubsgame flow — win probabilitySan Diego Padres
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Padres in control. Red fill: Cubs. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Cubs · 8 H, 0 EPadres · 14 H, 0 E
100%
Padres win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Padres win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Alex Bregman strikes out swinging.
top 9Michael Busch grounds out to first baseman Gavin Sheets. Nico Hoerner to 3rd.
top 9Nico Hoerner grounds into a force out, second baseman Jake Cronenworth to shortstop Xander Bogaerts. Matt Shaw scores. Dansby Swanson to 3rd. Pete Crow-Armstrong out at 2nd. Nico Hoerner to 1st.69
top 9Pete Crow-Armstrong singles on a ground ball to right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr. Matt Shaw to 3rd. Dansby Swanson to 2nd.
top 9Dansby Swanson singles on a line drive to left fielder Ramón Laureano. Matt Shaw to 2nd.
top 9Matt Shaw singles on a soft ground ball to third baseman Ty France.
bot 8Xander Bogaerts flies out to right fielder Seiya Suzuki.
bot 8Gavin Sheets homers (4) on a fly ball to right field.59

Context the model prices

Chicago Cubs
11 on the injured list (3 stars) · bullpen threw 28 batters faced over the last two days
Seiya Suzuki 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Moisés Ballesteros 1-4, 1 HR, 4 RBI · Dansby Swanson 2-3
San Diego Padres
7 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 35 batters faced over the last two days
Gavin Sheets 1-1, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Manny Machado 3-4 · Ty France 2-3, 4 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.