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Chicago Cubs
5
100% — our call
Final
San Diego Padres
4
0% — our call
Chicago Cubsgame flow — win probabilitySan Diego Padres
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Padres in control. Red fill: Cubs. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Cubs · 9 H, 0 EPadres · 3 H, 0 E
0%
Padres win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Padres win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Ramón Laureano strikes out swinging.
bot 9Ty France grounds out, third baseman Alex Bregman to first baseman Michael Busch.
bot 9Xander Bogaerts strikes out swinging.
top 9Michael Busch flies out to center fielder Jackson Merrill.
top 9Alex Bregman walks.
top 9Moisés Ballesteros grounds out, third baseman Miguel Andujar to first baseman Ty France.
bot 8Manny Machado grounds into a double play, second baseman Matt Shaw to first baseman Michael Busch. Jackson Merrill out at 2nd. Manny Machado out at 1st.
bot 8Fernando Tatis Jr. out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Nick Castellanos scores. Bryce Johnson to 3rd.54

Context the model prices

Chicago Cubs
11 on the injured list (3 stars) · bullpen threw 29 batters faced over the last two days
Matt Shaw 3-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Pete Crow-Armstrong 1-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Michael Conforto 1-4
San Diego Padres
7 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 38 batters faced over the last two days
Nick Castellanos 1-2, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Miguel Andujar 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Fernando Tatis Jr. 1-3, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.