Statball

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Colorado Rockies
5
0% — our call
Final
San Diego Padres
9
100% — our call
Colorado Rockiesgame flow — win probabilitySan Diego Padres
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Padres in control. Red fill: Rockies. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Rockies · 9 H, 1 EPadres · 10 H, 0 E
100%
Padres win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Padres win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Ezequiel Tovar pops out to second baseman Fernando Tatis Jr.
top 9Edouard Julien walks. TJ Rumfield to 3rd. Tyler Freeman to 2nd.
top 9Tyler Freeman singles on a line drive to right fielder Bryce Johnson. TJ Rumfield to 2nd.
top 9TJ Rumfield singles on a line drive to center fielder Jackson Merrill.
top 9Brett Sullivan pops out to third baseman Manny Machado.
top 9Willi Castro strikes out swinging.
bot 8Manny Machado flies into a double play, right fielder Tyler Freeman to catcher Brett Sullivan. Fernando Tatis Jr. out at home.
bot 8Jackson Merrill flies out to left fielder Jordan Beck. Fernando Tatis Jr. to 3rd.

Context the model prices

Colorado Rockies
4 on the injured list · bullpen threw 30 batters faced over the last two days
Mickey Moniak 3-4, 2 HR, 4 RBI · Edouard Julien 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Tyler Freeman 1-2
San Diego Padres
8 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 32 batters faced over the last two days
Ramón Laureano 2-3, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Manny Machado 1-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Fernando Tatis Jr. 3-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.