Statball

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Colorado Rockies
2
0% — our call
Final
San Diego Padres
7
100% — our call
Colorado Rockiesgame flow — win probabilitySan Diego Padres
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Padres in control. Red fill: Rockies. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Rockies · 2 H, 0 EPadres · 10 H, 0 E
100%
Padres win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Padres win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9TJ Rumfield strikes out swinging.
top 9Hunter Goodman singles on a ground ball to third baseman Manny Machado.
top 9Mickey Moniak strikes out swinging.
top 9Tyler Freeman pops out to third baseman Manny Machado in foul territory.
bot 8Fernando Tatis Jr. grounds into a double play, shortstop Ezequiel Tovar to second baseman Tyler Freeman to first baseman TJ Rumfield. Freddy Fermin out at 2nd. Fernando Tatis Jr. out at 1st.
bot 8Freddy Fermin walks.
top 8Jordan Beck grounds out, third baseman Manny Machado to first baseman Ty France.
top 8Kyle Karros grounds out, shortstop Xander Bogaerts to first baseman Ty France.

Context the model prices

Colorado Rockies
4 on the injured list · bullpen threw 30 batters faced over the last two days
Hunter Goodman 1-3 · Brett Sullivan 1-3, 2 RBI · Mickey Moniak 0-4
San Diego Padres
8 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 32 batters faced over the last two days
Ty France 3-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Jackson Merrill 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Ramón Laureano 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.