Statball

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Colorado Rockies
2
0% — our call
Final
San Diego Padres
5
100% — our call
Colorado Rockiesgame flow — win probabilitySan Diego Padres
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Padres in control. Red fill: Rockies. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Rockies · 8 H, 0 EPadres · 6 H, 0 E
100%
Padres win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Padres win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Gavin Sheets homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field. Jackson Merrill scores. Manny Machado scores.25
bot 9Xander Bogaerts flies out to right fielder Tyler Freeman. Jackson Merrill to 3rd.
bot 9Manny Machado walks. Jackson Merrill to 2nd.
bot 9Jackson Merrill singles on a ground ball to left fielder Jordan Beck.
top 9Brenton Doyle strikes out on a foul tip.
top 9Willi Castro strikes out swinging.
top 9TJ Rumfield strikes out swinging.
bot 8Fernando Tatis Jr. grounds into a force out, shortstop Ezequiel Tovar to second baseman Willi Castro. Ramón Laureano out at 2nd.

Context the model prices

Colorado Rockies
4 on the injured list · bullpen threw 58 batters faced over the last two days
Willi Castro 1-4 · Tyler Freeman 1-4 · Edouard Julien 1-3
San Diego Padres
8 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 38 batters faced over the last two days
Gavin Sheets 2-4, 2 HR, 4 RBI · Luis Campusano 2-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Jackson Merrill 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.