Statball

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San Francisco Giants
1
0% — our call
Final
San Diego Padres
7
100% — our call
San Francisco Giantsgame flow — win probabilitySan Diego Padres
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Padres in control. Red fill: Giants. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Giants · 4 H, 2 EPadres · 9 H, 0 E
100%
Padres win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Padres win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Harrison Bader strikes out swinging.
top 9Jung Hoo Lee strikes out swinging.
top 9Matt Chapman strikes out swinging.
top 9Luis Arraez singles on a line drive to right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr.
bot 8Jackson Merrill grounds into a double play, catcher Daniel Susac to first baseman Casey Schmitt. Bryce Johnson out at home. Jackson Merrill out at 1st.
bot 8Xander Bogaerts walks. Gavin Sheets scores. Bryce Johnson to 3rd. Fernando Tatis Jr. to 2nd.17
bot 8Fernando Tatis Jr. singles on a soft ground ball to third baseman Matt Chapman, deflected by pitcher José Buttó. Jake Cronenworth scores. Gavin Sheets to 3rd. Bryce Johnson to 2nd.16
bot 8Bryce Johnson walks. Jake Cronenworth to 3rd. Gavin Sheets to 2nd.

Context the model prices

San Francisco Giants
4 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 22 batters faced over the last two days
Luis Arraez 3-4 · Harrison Bader 1-3, 1 RBI · Casey Schmitt 0-3
San Diego Padres
8 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 42 batters faced over the last two days
Ramón Laureano 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Gavin Sheets 2-3, 1 RBI · Jackson Merrill 1-5

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.