Statball

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Detroit Tigers
0
0% — our call
Final
San Diego Padres
3
100% — our call
Detroit Tigersgame flow — win probabilitySan Diego Padres
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Padres in control. Red fill: Tigers. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678921
Tigers · 2 H, 1 EPadres · 7 H, 0 E
100%
Padres win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Padres win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Kevin McGonigle strikes out swinging, catcher Freddy Fermin to first baseman Gavin Sheets.
top 9Spencer Torkelson walks.
top 9Riley Greene flies out to left fielder Bryce Johnson.
bot 8Nick Castellanos grounds out, third baseman Colt Keith to first baseman Spencer Torkelson.
bot 8Ramón Laureano singles on a line drive to center fielder Matt Vierling.
bot 8Gavin Sheets called out on strikes.
bot 8Xander Bogaerts flies out to center fielder Matt Vierling.
top 8Gleyber Torres strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Detroit Tigers
4 on the injured list · bullpen threw 25 batters faced over the last two days
Colt Keith 2-3 · Zach McKinstry 0-2 · Jahmai Jones 0-1
San Diego Padres
8 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 30 batters faced over the last two days
Ramón Laureano 3-4 · Freddy Fermin 1-3 · Nick Castellanos 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.