Statball

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Detroit Tigers
5
100% — our call
Final
San Diego Padres
2
0% — our call
Detroit Tigersgame flow — win probabilitySan Diego Padres
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Padres in control. Red fill: Tigers. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Tigers · 6 H, 1 EPadres · 8 H, 1 E
0%
Padres win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Padres win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Nick Castellanos strikes out swinging.
bot 9Jake Cronenworth strikes out swinging.
bot 9Gavin Sheets strikes out swinging.
top 9Riley Greene grounds out, shortstop Xander Bogaerts to first baseman Ty France.
top 9Colt Keith flies out to left fielder Ramón Laureano.
top 9Gleyber Torres singles on a ground ball to right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr. Kerry Carpenter to 2nd.
top 9Javier Báez grounds out softly, pitcher David Morgan to first baseman Ty France.
bot 8Ramón Laureano strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Detroit Tigers
4 on the injured list · bullpen threw 25 batters faced over the last two days
Zach McKinstry 1-2 · Riley Greene 1-5, 1 RBI · Kevin McGonigle 1-3, 2 RBI
San Diego Padres
8 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 44 batters faced over the last two days
Jackson Merrill 2-3 · Jake Cronenworth 2-4 · Ramón Laureano 1-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.