Statball

← All live games · Petco Park

Detroit Tigers
8
100% — our call
Final
San Diego Padres
2
0% — our call
Detroit Tigersgame flow — win probabilitySan Diego Padres
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Padres in control. Red fill: Tigers. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678942211
Tigers · 12 H, 1 EPadres · 5 H, 0 E
0%
Padres win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Padres win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Jake Cronenworth strikes out swinging.
bot 9Freddy Fermin grounds out, third baseman Kevin McGonigle to first baseman Spencer Torkelson.
bot 9Ramón Laureano lines out to right fielder Kerry Carpenter.
top 9Dillon Dingler grounds out, pitcher Wandy Peralta to first baseman Nick Castellanos.
top 9Kevin McGonigle singles on a line drive to right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr.
top 9Spencer Torkelson flies out to left fielder Ramón Laureano.
top 9Riley Greene grounds out softly, pitcher Wandy Peralta to first baseman Nick Castellanos.
bot 8Nick Castellanos flies out to center fielder Parker Meadows.

Context the model prices

Detroit Tigers
4 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Kevin McGonigle 4-5, 2 RBI · Dillon Dingler 2-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Colt Keith 2-5
San Diego Padres
8 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Ramón Laureano 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Xander Bogaerts 2-4, 1 RBI · Manny Machado 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.